Foreclosure Inventory Finally Breaks 10-Year Low
It is hard to believe that it has taken more than a decade, but Black Knight Financial Services says the foreclosure inventory, after a 12,000-property decline in July, has finally fallen below 400,000. The last time the number of homes in some process of foreclosure was lower was in February 2007. The July decrease is part of a 150,000-home reduction in the inventory in the last 12 months, a -28 percent change.
Other measures of housing distress continue to fall as well. The national foreclosure rate is also the lowest it has been in more than 12 years at 0.78 percent of all active mortgages, and the 53,300 foreclosure starts filed in July were the second fewest in a given month since 2005.
Black Knight, in its "first look" at July mortgage performance data, did note a slight uptick in early-stage mortgage delinquencies during the month, the rate for loans 30 or more days past due but not in foreclosure rose from 2.8 percent in June to 3.9 percent, a change the company calls "seasonal." The delinquency rate has fallen by 13.5 percent since July 2016. Later stage delinquencies remained flat, and the total 90+ day delinquent inventory is down 140,000 from last year. Two oil patch states, Alaska and North Dakota, were the only ones to have seen total non-current inventories (everything 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure) grow over the past six months.
New York, the state with the highest foreclosure inventory at 58,000 units, is also one that has historically had one of the longest mortgage timelines, accompanied by enormous foreclosure backlogs. That it also has the highest foreclosure rate at 2.4 percent may be an indication that the courts are finally resolving some of these very old cases.
Nationally the number of properties that are non-current, that is 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure, totals2.384 million. This is down by 42,000 from the previous month and 452,000 year-over-year. The highest rate of non-current loans is in Mississippi at 10.45 percent, followed by Louisiana (8.77 percent) and Alabama (7.23 percent).
Following monthly gains in May and June, prepayment activity fell by nearly 10% in July. The rate, an indicator of refinancing activity, is down nearly 20 percent year-over-year. Black Knight will provide a more in-depth review of this data in its monthly Mortgage Monitor report which will be published by September 11.